Probability

A bag contains \[(2n+1)\] coins. It is known that n of these coins has a head on both sides whereas the rest of the coins are fair. A coin is picked up at random from the bag and is tossed. If the probability that the toss results in a head is \[31/42\], determine the value of n.

Given, n coins are two headed coins and the remaining \[(n+1)\] coins are fair. Let  \[{{E}_{1}}\] : the event that unfair coin is selected \[{{E}_{2}}\] : the event that the fair coin is selected...

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The probability distribution of a random variable x is given as under: where k is a constant. Calculate (i) E(X) (ii) \[\mathbf{E}\text{ }(\mathbf{3}{{\mathbf{X}}^{\mathbf{2}}})\] (iii) \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }{}^\text{3}\text{ }\mathbf{4} \right)\]

The probability distribution of random variable X is given by: We know that \[\sum\limits_{i=1}^{n}{P({{X}_{i}})=1}\] So, \[k\text{ }+\text{ }4k\text{ }+\text{ }9k\text{ }+\text{ }8k\text{ }+\text{...

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An item is manufactured by three machines A, B and C. Out of the total number of items manufactured during a specified period, \[50%\] are manufactured on A, \[30%\] on B and \[20%\] on C. \[2%\] of the items produced on A and \[2%\] of items produced on B are defective, and \[3%\] of these produced on C are defective. All the items are stored at one godown. One item is drawn at random and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was manufactured on machine A?

Let’s consider: \[{{E}_{1}}\] = The event that the item is manufactured on machine A \[{{E}_{2}}\] = The event that the item is manufactured on machine B \[{{E}_{3}}\] = The event that the item is...

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By examining the chest X ray, the probability that TB is detected when a person is actually suffering is \[0.99\]. The probability of an healthy person diagnosed to have TB is \[0.001\]. In a certain city, \[1\] in \[1000\] people suffers from TB. A person is selected at random and is diagnosed to have TB. What is the probability that he actually has TB?

Let \[{{E}_{1}}\] = Event that a person has TB \[{{E}_{2}}\] = Event that a person does not have TB And H = Event that the person is diagnosed to have TB. So, \[P({{E}_{1}})\text{ }=\text{...

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There are three urns containing \[2\]white and \[3\] black balls, \[3\] white and \[2\] black balls, and \[4\] white and \[1\] black balls, respectively. There is an equal probability of each urn being chosen. A ball is drawn at random from the chosen urn and it is found to be white. Find the probability that the ball drawn was from the second urn.

Given, we have \[3\] urns: Urn \[1\] = \[2\] white and \[3\] black balls Urn \[2\] = \[3\] white and 2 black balls Urn \[3\] = \[4\] white and \[1\] black balls Now, the probabilities of choosing...

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There are two bags, one of which contains \[3\] black and \[4\] white balls while the other contains \[4\] black and \[3\] white balls. A die is thrown. If it shows up \[1\] or \[3\], a ball is taken from the Ist bag; but it shows up any other number, a ball is chosen from the second bag. Find the probability of choosing a black ball.

Let \[{{E}_{1}}\] be the event of selecting Bag \[1\] and \[{{E}_{2}}\] be the event of selecting Bag \[2\]. Also, let \[{{E}_{3}}\] be the event that black ball is selected Now,...

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A shopkeeper sells three types of flower seeds \[{{A}_{1}}\], \[{{A}_{2}}\] and \[{{A}_{3}}\]. They are sold as a mixture where the proportions are \[4:4:2\] respectively. The germination rates of the three types of seeds are \[45%\], \[60%\] and \[35%\]. Calculate the probability (i) of a randomly chosen seed to germinate (ii) that it will not germinate given that the seed is of type A3, (iii) that it is of the type A2 given that a randomly chosen seed does not germinate.

Given that: \[{{A}_{1}}:\text{ }{{A}_{2}}:\text{ }{{A}_{3}}~=\text{ }4:\text{ }4:\text{ }2\] So, the probabilities will be \[P({{A}_{1}})\text{ }=\text{ }4/10,\text{ }P({{A}_{2}})\text{ }=\text{...

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Three bags contain a number of red and white balls as follows: Bag \[1:3\] red balls, Bag \[2:2\] red balls and \[1\] white ball Bag \[3:3\] white balls. The probability that bag i will be chosen and a ball is selected from it is \[\mathbf{i}/\mathbf{6},\text{ }\mathbf{i}\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1},\text{ }\mathbf{2},\text{ }\mathbf{3}\]. What is the probability that (i) a red ball will be selected? (ii) a white ball is selected?

Given: Bag \[1:3\] red balls, Bag \[2:2\] red balls and \[1\] white ball Bag \[3:3\]  white balls Now, let E1, E2 and E3 be the events of choosing Bag \[1\], Bag \[2\] and Bag \[3\] respectively and...

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An urn contains m white and n black balls. A ball is drawn at random and is put back into the urn along with k additional balls of the same colour as that of the ball drawn. A ball is again drawn at random. Show that the probability of drawing a white ball now does not depend on k.

Let’s consider A to be the event of having m white and n black balls \[{{E}_{1}}\] = First ball drawn of white colour \[{{E}_{2}}\] = First ball drawn of black colour \[{{E}_{3}}\]  = Second ball...

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Two dice are tossed. Find whether the following two events A and B are independent: \[\mathbf{A}\text{ }=\text{ }\left\{ \left( x,~y \right)\text{ }:~x~+~y~=\text{ }\mathbf{11} \right\}\text{ }\mathbf{B}\text{ }=\text{ }\left\{ \left( x,~y \right)\text{ }:~x~{}^\text{1}\text{ }\mathbf{5} \right\}\] where (x, y) denotes a typical sample point.

Given, two events A and B are independent such that \[\mathbf{A}\text{ }=\text{ }\left\{ \left( x,~y \right)\text{ }:~x~+~y~=\text{ }\mathbf{11} \right\}\text{ }\mathbf{B}\text{ }=\text{ }\left\{...

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The random variable X can take only the values \[0,1,2\]. Given that \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{0} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{P}\text{ }\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1} \right)\text{ }=~p~\] and that \[\mathbf{E}({{\mathbf{X}}^{\mathbf{2}}})\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{E}\left[ \mathbf{X} \right]\],find the value of p.

Given, \[X\text{ }=\text{ }0,\text{ }1,\text{ }2\]and \[P\left( X\text{ }=\text{ }0 \right)\text{ }=\text{ }P\text{ }\left( X\text{ }=\text{ }1 \right)\text{ }=~p\] Let P(X) at \[X\text{ }=\text{...

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Two natural numbers r, s are drawn one at a time, without replacement from the set \[\mathbf{S}=\left\{ \mathbf{1},\text{ }\mathbf{2},\text{ }\mathbf{3},\text{ }\ldots .,~n \right\}\]. Find \[\mathbf{P}\left[ r~\text{£}~p|s~\text{£}~p \right]\], where \[p\mathbf{\hat{I}}S\].

Given, \[\mathbf{S}=\left\{ \mathbf{1},\text{ }\mathbf{2},\text{ }\mathbf{3},\text{ }\ldots .,~n \right\}\] So, \[P\left( r\text{ }\le \text{ }p/s\text{ }\le \text{ }p \right)\text{ }=\text{...

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Suppose that \[6%\] of the people with blood group O are left-handed and \[10%\] of those with other blood groups are left-handed \[30%\] of the people have blood group O. If a left-handed person is selected at random, what is the probability that he/she will have blood group O?

Let’s assume \[{{E}_{1}}\] = The event that a person selected is of blood group O \[{{E}_{2}}\] = The event that the people selected is of other group And H = The event that selected person is left...

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A factory produces bulbs. The probability that any one bulb is defective is \[1/50\] and they are packed in boxes of \[10\]. From a single box, find the probability that (i) none of the bulbs is defective (ii) exactly two bulbs are defective (iii) more than \[8\] bulbs work properly

Let’s assume X to be the random variable denoting a bulb to be defective. Here, \[n\text{ }=\text{ }10,\text{ }p\text{ }=\text{ }1/50,\text{ }q\text{ }=\text{ }1\text{ }\text{ }1/50\text{ }=\text{...

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Two biased dice are thrown together. For the first die \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{6} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{2}\], the other scores being equally likely while for the second die, \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{1} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{2}/\mathbf{5}\]and the other scores are equally likely. Find the probability distribution of ‘the number of ones seen’.

Therefore, the required probability distribution is

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A biased die is such that \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{4} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{10}\]and other scores being equally likely. The die is tossed twice. If X is the ‘number of fours seen’, find the variance of the random variable X.

Here, random variable \[X\text{ }=\text{ }0,\text{ }1,\text{ }2\] \[P\left( X\text{ }=\text{ }2 \right)\text{ }=\text{ }P\left( 4 \right).P\left( 4 \right)\text{ }=\text{ }1/10\text{ }x\text{...

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The probability distribution of a random variable X is given below: (i) Determine the value of k. (ii) Determine \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }\text{£}\text{ }\mathbf{2} \right)\] and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }>\text{ }\mathbf{2} \right)\] (iii) Find \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }\text{£}\text{ }\mathbf{2} \right)\text{ }+\text{ }\mathbf{P}\text{ }\left( \mathbf{X}\text{ }>\text{ }\mathbf{2} \right)\]

(i) W.k.t \[P\left( 0 \right)\text{ }+\text{ }P\left( 1 \right)\text{ }+\text{ }P\left( 2 \right)\text{ }+\text{ }P\left( 3 \right)\text{ }=\text{ }1\] \[\Rightarrow k\text{ }+\text{ }k/2\text{...

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A bag contains \[4\] white and \[5\] black balls. Another bag contains \[9\] white and \[7\] black balls. A ball is transferred from the first bag to the second and then a ball is drawn at random from the second bag. Find the probability that the ball drawn is white.

Let us consider  \[{{W}_{1}}\] and \[{{W}_{2}}\] to be two bags containing \[\left( 4W,\text{ }5B \right)\]and \[\left( 9W,\text{ }7B \right)\]balls respectively. Let us take \[{{E}_{1}}\] be the...

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In a dice game, a player pays a stake of Re\[1\] for each throw of a die. She receives Rs \[5\] if the die shows a \[3\], Rs \[2\] if the die shows a \[1\]or \[6\], and nothing otherwise. What is the player’s expected profit per throw over a long series of throws?

Let’s take X to be the random variable of profit per throw. As, she loses Rs \[1\] for giving any od \[2,4,5\]. So, \[P\left( X\text{ }=\text{ }-1 \right)\text{ }=\text{ }1/6\text{ }+\text{...

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Let E1 and E2 be two independent events such that \[p({{\mathbf{E}}_{\mathbf{1}}})\text{ }=~{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}}~\] and \[\mathbf{P}({{\mathbf{E}}_{\mathbf{2}}})\text{ }=\text{ }{{\mathbf{p}}_{\mathbf{2}}}\]. Describe in words of the events whose probabilities are: \[\left( \mathbf{i} \right)~{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}}~{{p}_{\mathbf{2}}}~\left( \mathbf{ii} \right)\text{ }(\mathbf{1}{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}})~{{p}_{\mathbf{2}}}~\left( \mathbf{iii} \right)\text{ }\mathbf{1}\text{ }\text{ }(\mathbf{1}\text{ }~{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}})(\mathbf{1}\text{ }~{{p}_{\mathbf{2}}})\text{ }\left( \mathbf{iv} \right)~{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}}~+~{{p}_{\mathbf{2}}}~\text{ }\mathbf{2}{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}}{{p}_{\mathbf{2}}}\]

Here, \[p({{\mathbf{E}}_{\mathbf{1}}})\text{ }=~{{p}_{\mathbf{1}}}~\] and \[\mathbf{P}({{\mathbf{E}}_{\mathbf{2}}})\text{ }=\text{ }{{\mathbf{p}}_{\mathbf{2}}}\] Now, its clearly seen that either...

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Three events A, B and C have probabilities \[2/5\], \[1/3\] and \[1/2\] respectively. Given that \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}\text{ }\mathbf{C} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{5}\] and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{B}\text{ }\mathbf{}\text{ }\mathbf{C} \right)\text{ }=\text{ 1/4}\], find the values of \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{C}\text{ }|\text{ }\mathbf{B} \right)\] and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}\mathbf{}\text{ }\mathbf{C} \right)\].

Given, P(A) = \[2/5\], P(B) = \[1/3\] and P(C) = \[1/2\] \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}\text{ }\mathbf{C} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{5}\]and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{B}\text{...

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A and B are two events such that P(A) = \[1/2\], P(B) = \[1/3\] and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}\text{ }\mathbf{}\text{ }\mathbf{B} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{4}\]. Find: (i) \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}|\mathbf{B} \right)\] (ii) \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{B}|\mathbf{A} \right)\] (iii) \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}|\mathbf{B} \right)\] (iv) \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}|\mathbf{B} \right)\]

Given, P(A) = \[1/2\], P(B) = \[1/3\] and \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{A}\text{ }\mathbf{}\text{ }\mathbf{B} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{1}/\mathbf{4}\] \[P\left( A \right)\text{ }=\text{ }1\text{...

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Two dice are thrown together and the total score is noted. The events E, F and G are ‘a total of \[4\]’, ‘a total of \[9\] or more’, and ‘a total divisible by \[5\]’, respectively. Calculate P(E), P(F) and P(G) and decide which pairs of events, if any, are independent.

If two dice are thrown together, we have n(S) = \[36\] Now, let’s consider: E = A total of \[4\text{ }=\text{ }\left\{ \left( 2,\text{ }2 \right),\text{ }\left( 1,\text{ }3 \right),\text{ }\left(...

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For a loaded die, the probabilities of outcomes are given as under: \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{1} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{2} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{0}.\mathbf{2},\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{3} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{5} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{6} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{0}.\mathbf{1}\text{ }\mathbf{and}\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{4} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{0}.\mathbf{3}\]. The die is thrown two times. Let A and B be the events, ‘same number each time’, and ‘a total score is \[10\] or more’, respectively. Determine whether or not A and B are independent.

Given that a loaded die is thrown such that \[\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{1} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left( \mathbf{2} \right)\text{ }=\text{ }\mathbf{0}.\mathbf{2},\text{ }\mathbf{P}\left(...

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