Probability

A box contains cards bearing numbers 6 to 70. If one card Is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that It bearsA box contains cards bearing numbers 6 to 70. If one card Is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that It bearsA box contains cards bearing numbers 6 to 70. If one card Is drawn at random from the box, find the probability that It bears
(III) an odd number less than 30,
(Iv) a composite number between 50 and 70.

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A sample space consists of 9 elementary outcomes \mathrm{e}_{1}, \mathrm{e}_{2}, \ldots, \mathrm{e}_{9} whose probabilities are \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{1}\right)=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{2}\right)=.08, \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{3}\right)=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{4}\right)=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{5}\right)=.1 \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{6}\right)=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{7}\right)=.2, \mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{8}\right)=\mathrm{P}\left(\mathrm{e}_{9}\right)=.07 Suppose \mathrm{A}=\left\{\mathrm{e}_{1}, \mathrm{e}_{5}, \mathrm{e}_{8}\right\}, \mathrm{B}=\left\{\mathrm{e}_{2}, \mathrm{e}_{5}, \mathrm{e}_{8}, \mathrm{e}_{9}\right\}
(a) List the composition of the event A U B, and calculate P (A U B) by adding the probabilities of the elementary outcomes.
(b) Calculate P (B) from P (B), also calculate P (B ) directly from the elementary outcomes of \overline{\mathrm{B}}.

Solution: It is given that $\begin{array}{l} S=\left\{e_{1}, e_{2}, e_{3}, e_{4}, e_{5}, e_{8}, e_{7}, e_{8}, e_{9}\right\} \\ A=\left\{e_{1}, e_{5}, e_{8}\right\} \text { and } B=\left\{e_{2},...

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One urn contains two black balls (labelled B_1 and B_2) and one white ball. A second urn contains one black ball and two white balls (labelled W_1 and W_2). Suppose the following experiment is performed. One of the two urns is chosen at random. Next a ball is randomly chosen from the urn. Then a second ball is chosen at random from the same urn without replacing the first ball.
(a) What is the probability that two balls of opposite colour are chosen?

Solution: (a) If two balls of opposite colours are chosen then The favourable outcomes are $\mathrm{B}_{1} \mathrm{~W}, \mathrm{~B}_{2} \mathrm{~W}, \mathrm{WB}_{1}, \mathrm{WB}_{2}, \mathrm{~W}_{1}...

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One urn contains two black balls (labelled B_1 and B_2) and one white ball. A second urn contains one black ball and two white balls (labelled W_1 and W_2). Suppose the following experiment is performed. One of the two urns is chosen at random. Next a ball is randomly chosen from the urn. Then a second ball is chosen at random from the same urn without replacing the first ball.
(a) Write the sample space showing all possible outcomes
(b) What is the probability that two black balls are chosen?

Solution: It is given that one urn contains two black balls and one white ball and the second urn contains one black ball and two white balls. Also given that if one of the two urns is chosen, then...

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One of the four persons John, Rita, Aslam or Gurpreet will be promoted next month. Consequently, the sample space consists of four elementary outcomes S = {John promoted, Rita promoted, Aslam promoted, Gurpreet promoted} You are told that the chances of John’s promotion is same as that of Gurpreet, Rita’s chances of promotion are twice as likely as Johns. Aslam’s chances are four times that of John.
(a) Determine P (John promoted)
P (Rita promoted)
P (Aslam promoted)
P (Gurpreet promoted)
(b) If A = {John promoted or Gurpreet promoted}, find P (A).

Solution: Given that: Sample Space, S $=$ John promoted, Rita promoted, Aslam promoted, Gurpreet promoted Let's say Events that John promoted $E_{1}$ Events that Rita promoted $E_2$ Events that...

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Four candidates A, B, C, D have applied for the assignment to coach a school cricket team. If A is nd C are given about the same chance of being selected, D, what are the probabilities that
(a) C will be selected?
(b) A will not be selected?

Solution: It is given that A is twice as likely to be selected as $B$ that is $P(A)=2 P(B) \ldots \ldots 1$ and $C$ is twice as likely to be selected as $D$. that is $P(C)=2 P(D) \ldots \ldots 2$ So...

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A team of medical students doing their internship have to assist during surgeries at a city hospital. The probabilities of surgeries rated as very complex, complex, routine, simple or very simple are respectively, 0.15,0.20,0.31,0.26, .08. Find the probabilities that a particular surgery will be rated.
(a) routine or complex
(b) routine or simple

Solution: Let' say Event that surgeries are rated as very complex $=E_{1}$ Event that surgeries are rated as complex $=\mathrm{E}_{2}$ Event that surgeries are rated as routine $=\mathrm{E}_{3}$...

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A team of medical students doing their internship have to assist during surgeries at a city hospital. The probabilities of surgeries rated as very complex, complex, routine, simple or very simple are respectively, 0.15,0.20,0.31,0.26, .08. Find the probabilities that a particular surgery will be rated.
(a) complex or very complex;
(b) neither very complex nor very simple;

Solution: Let' say Event that surgeries are rated as very complex $=E_{1}$ Event that surgeries are rated as complex $=\mathrm{E}_{2}$ Event that surgeries are rated as routine $=\mathrm{E}_{3}$...

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In a large metropolitan area, the probabilities are .87, .36, .30 that a family (randomly chosen for a sample survey) owns a colour television set, a black and white television set, or both kinds of sets. What is the probability that a family owns either anyone or both kinds of sets?

Solution: Event that a family owns colour television $=E_{1}$ Event that the family owns black and white television $=E_{2}$ Provided that $P\left(E_{1}\right)=0.87$ $P\left(E_{2}\right)=0.36$ and...

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An experiment consists of rolling a die until a 2 appears.
(i) How many elements of the sample space correspond to the event that the 2 appears on the k^{th} roll of the die?
(ii) How many elements of the sample space correspond to the event that the 2 appears not later than the k^{th} roll of the die?

Solution: The given no. of outcomes when die is thrown $=6$ (i) If 2 appears on the $k^{th}$ roll of the die. Therefore, the first $(k-1)$ roll have 5 outcomes each and $K^{th}$ roll results 2 No....

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Six new employees, two of whom are married to each other, are to be assigned six desks that are lined up in a row. If the assignment of employees to desks is made randomly, what is the probability that the married couple will have nonadjacent desks?

Solution: The total new employees $=6$ Therefore, they can be arranged in $6!$ Ways $\therefore \mathrm{n}(\mathrm{S})=6 !=6 \times 5 \times 4 \times 3 \times 2 \times 1=720$ In 5 ways two adjacent...

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A manufacturer has three machine operators \mathrm{A}, \mathrm{B} and \mathrm{C}. The first operator \mathrm{A} produces 1 \% defective items, whereas the other two operators B and C produce 5 \% and 7 \% defective items respectively. A is on the job for 50 \% of the time, B is on the job for 30 \% of the time and \mathrm{C} is on the job for 20 \% of the time. A defective item is produced, what is the probability that it was produced by A?

Solution: Let $\mathrm{E}_{1}$ be the event of machine time consumption. be the event of machine time consumption $\mathrm{A}, \mathrm{E}_{2}$ Let $B$ and $E_{3}$ represent the event of machine $C$...

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Suppose a girl throws a die. If she gets a 5 or 6 , she tosses a coin three times and notes the number of heads. If she gets 1, \mathbf{2}, 3 or 4 , she tosses a coin once and notes whether a head or tail is obtained. If she obtained exactly one head, what is the probability that she threw 1,2,3 or 4 with the die?

Solution: Let $\mathrm{E} {1}$ be the event where the die outcome is $5 or $6, $\mathrm{E} {2}$ be the event where the die outcome is $1,2,3$ or 4, and $A$ be the event where the die outcome is...

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A factory has two machines A and B. Past record shows that machine A produced 60 \% of the items of output and machine B produced 40 \% of the items. Further, 2 \% of the items produced by machine A and 1 \% produced by machine B were defective. All the items are put into one stockpile and then one item is chosen at random from this and is found to be defective. What is the probability that it was produced by machine B?

Solution: Let $E {1}$ represent the event that item A produces, $E {2}$ represent the event that item $B$ produces, and $X$ represent the event that the generated product is discovered to be...

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An insurance company insured 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers and 6000 truck drivers. The probability of an accidents are 0.01,0.03 and 0.15 respectively. One of the insured persons meets with an accident. What is the probability that he is a scooter driver?

Solution: Let $\mathrm{E}_{1}$ represent the driver being a scooter driver, $\mathrm{E}_{2}$ represent the driver being a car driver, and $\mathrm{E}_{3}$ represent the driver being a truck driver....

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There are three coins. One is a two-headed coin (having a head on both faces), another is a biased coin that comes up heads 75 \% of the time and the third is an unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it shows heads, what is the probability that it was the two-headed coin?

Solution: Let $E_{1}$ represent the event of selecting a two-headed coin, $E_{2}$ represent the event of selecting a biassed coin, and $\mathrm{E}_{3}$ represent the event of selecting an unbiased...

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A laboratory blood test is 99 \% effective in detecting a certain disease when it is in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false-positive result for 0.5 \% of the healthy person tested (i.e. if a healthy person is tested, then, with probability 0.005, the test will imply he has the disease). If 0.1 percent of the population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has the disease given that his test result is positive?

Solution: Let $\mathrm{E}_{1}$ represent a person who has a disease, $\mathrm{E}_{2}$ represent a person who does not have a disease, and $A$ represent a person who has a positive blood test....

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In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows the answer or guesses. Let 3 / 4 be the probability that he knows the answer and 1 / 4 be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 1 / 4. What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he answered it correctly?

Solution: Let $E_{1}$ represent the situation in which the student knows the solution, $E_{2}$ represent the situation in which the student guesses the answer, and $\mathrm{A}$ represent the...

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Of the students in a college, it is known that 60 \% reside in hostel and 40 \% are day scholars (not residing in hostel). Previous year results report that 30 \% of all students who reside in hostel attain A grade and 20 \% of day scholars attain A grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year, one student is chosen at random from the college and he has an A grade, what is the probability that the student is a hostlier?

Solution: Let $\mathrm{E}_{1}$ represent the event that the student is a hostler, $\mathrm{E}_{2}$ represent the event that the student is a day scholar, and $A$ represent the event that the student...

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An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its colour is noted, and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. What is the probability that the second ball is red?

There are 5 red and 5 black balls in the urn. Let's say the ball drawn in the first attempt is red. $\Rightarrow P$ (probability of drawing a red ball) $=5 / 10=1 / 2$ The urn now holds 7 red and 5...

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Bag I contains 3 red and 4 black balls and Bag II contains 4 red and 5 black balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is drawn from Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be red in colour. Find the probability that the transferred ball is black.

Solution: Let us first suppose that the events denoted by $A_1$ are the occurrences in which a red ball is transferred from bag I to bag II. In addition, $A_2$ denotes the occurrence in which a...

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An electronic assembly consists of two subsystems, say, A and B. From previous testing procedures, the following probabilities are assumed to be known: P(A fails )=0.2
P( B fails alone) =0.15
P(A and B fail )=0.15
Evaluate the following probabilities: (i) P (A fails | B has failed)
(ii) P (A fails alone)

Solution: (i) Take, for example, the event that is failed by $A$, which is symbolised by the symbol $E A$. Furthermore, an event that is failed by $B$ is marked by the symbol $E B$. The following...

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If each element of a second order determinant is either zero or one, what is the probability that the value of the determinant is positive? (Assume that the individual entries of the determinant are chosen independently, each value being assumed with probability 1 / 2

Solution: We can deduce the following information from the question: The total number of determinants of second order in which the element is or is not $1=(2)^{4}$ $=16$ Now, we have the value of...

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Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack are 40 \%. It is also assumed that a meditation and yoga course reduce the risk of heart attack by 30 \% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chances by 25 \%. At a time a patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is given that after going through one of the two options the patient selected at random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a course of meditation and yoga?

Solution: Let us suppose that $X$ represents the events that caused a person to have a heart attack. $A_1$ denotes events in which the selected person has followed the course of yoga and meditation...

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Suppose we have four boxes A, B, C and D containing coloured marbles as given below: One of the boxes has been selected at random and a single marble is drawn from it. If the marble is red, what is the probability that it was drawn from box A ?, box B?, box C?

Solution: Let us assume $R$ be the event of drawing the red marblesLet us additionally assume that the letters $E_{A}, E_{B}$ and $E_{c}$ denote the boxes A, B and C respectively Given that, Total...

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An urn contains 25 balls of which 10 balls bear a mark ‘ X ‘ and the remaining 15 bear a mark ‘Y’. A ball is drawn at random from the urn, its mark is noted down and it is replaced. If 6 balls are drawn in this way, find the probability that: (i) At least one ball will bear ‘ \mathrm{Y} ‘ mark.
(ii) The number of balls with ‘ \mathrm{X} ‘ mark and ‘ \mathrm{Y} ‘ mark will be equal.

Given in the question that, Total number of balls in the urn $=25$ Number of balls bearing mark ${ }^{\prime} \mathrm{X}^{\prime}=10$ Number of balls bearing mark ${ }^{\prime}...

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An urn contains 25 balls of which 10 balls bear a mark ‘ X ‘ and the remaining 15 bear a mark ‘Y’. A ball is drawn at random from the urn, its mark is noted down and it is replaced. If 6 balls are drawn in this way, find the probability that: (i) All will bear ‘ X ‘ mark.
(ii) Not more than 2 will bear ‘Y’ mark.

Solution:(i) Given in the question that, Total number of balls in the urn $=25$ Number of balls bearing mark ${ }^{\prime} \mathrm{X}^{\prime}=10$ Number of balls bearing mark ${ }^{\prime}...

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A container contains 24 marbles, some are green and others are blue. In the event that a marble is drawn at arbitrary from the container, the likelihood that it is green is ⅔. Track down the quantity of blue balls n the container.

Solution: Absolute marbles = 24 Let the absolute green marbles = x Along these lines, the complete blue marbles = 24-x P(getting green marble) = x/24 From the inquiry, x/24 = ⅔ Along these lines,...

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A crate contains 12 balls out of which x are dark. On the off chance that one ball is drawn indiscriminately from thebox, what is the likelihood that it will be a debase?On the off chance that 6 more torpedoes are placed in the case, the likelihood of drawing a renounce is presentlytwofold of what it was previously. Discover x

Solution: All out number of debases = x All out number of balls = 12 P(E) = (Number of positive results/Total number of results) P (getting debases) = x/12 — — — - (I) Presently, when 6 more debases...

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A pass on is numbered so that its faces show the numbers 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 6. It is tossed multiple times and the complete score in two tosses is noted. Complete the accompanying table which gives a couple of upsides of the absolute score on the two tosses:

What is the likelihood that the absolute score is (I) even? (ii) 6? (iii) something like 6? Solution: The table will be as per the following: 1 2 2 3 3 6 1 2 3 3 4 4 7 2 3 4 4 5 5 8 2 3 4 4 5 5 8 3...

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12 flawed pens are inadvertently blended in with 132 great ones. It is unimaginable to simply take a gander at a pen and tell whether it is blemished. One pen is taken out aimlessly from this parcel. Decide the likelihood that the pen taken out is a decent one.

Solution: Quantities of pens = Numbers of blemished pens + Numbers of good pens ∴ Total number of pens = 132+12 = 144 pens P(E) = (Number of great results/Total number of results) P(picking a decent...

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(I) A ton of 20 bulbs contain 4 blemished ones. One bulb is drawn indiscriminately from the part. What is the likelihood that this bulb is damaged?(ii) Suppose the bulb attracted (I) isn’t damaged and isn’t supplanted. Presently one bulb is drawn indiscriminately from the rest. What is the likelihood that this bulb isn’t deficient?

Solution: (I) Number of damaged bulbs = 4 The absolute number of bulbs = 20 P(E) = (Number of great results/Total number of results) ∴ Probability of getting a damaged bulb = P (deficient bulb) =...

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A great deal comprises of 144 ball pens of which 20 are deficient and the others are acceptable. Nuri will purchase a pen in case it is acceptable, yet won’t accepting in case it is damaged. The retailer draws one pen indiscriminately and offers it to her. What is the likelihood that

(I) She will get it? (ii) She won't get it? Arrangement: The all out quantities of results for example pens = 144 Given, quantities of inadequate pens = 20 ∴ The quantities of non inadequate pens =...

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In an examination, 20 questions of true-false type are asked. Suppose a student tosses a fair coin to determine his answer to each question. If the coin falls heads, he answers ‘true’; if it falls tails, he answers ‘false’. Find the probability that he answers at least 12 questions correctly.

Solution: Assume that $x$ is the number of correctly answered questions out of a total of twenty. Since the 'head' of the coin represents the correct answer and the 'tail' represents the incorrect...

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(I) Complete the accompanying table: (ii) An understudy contends that ‘there are 11 potential results 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12. In this way, every one of them has a likelihood 1/11. Do you concur with this contention? Legitimize your Solution:.

Solution: On the off chance that 2 dices are tossed, the potential occasions are: (1, 1), (1, 2), (1, 3), (1, 4), (1, 5), (1, 6) (2, 1), (2, 2), (2, 3), (2, 4), (2, 5), (2, 6) (3, 1), (3, 2), (3,...

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A game comprises of throwing a one rupee coin multiple times and taking note of its result each time. Hanif wins if every one of the throws give a similar outcome i.e., three heads or three tails, and loses in any case. Ascertain the likelihood that Hanif will lose the game.

Solution: The absolute number of results = 8 (HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, HTT, THT, TTT) Absolute results in which Hanif will lose the game = 6 (HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, HTT, THT) P (losing the game) = 6/8...

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An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its colour is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. What is the probability that the second ball is red?

Solution: Given: Urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. Let in first attempt the ball drawn is of red colour. $\Rightarrow P$ (probability of drawing a red ball) $=5 / 10=1 / 2$ After the two balls...

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In a hostel, 60 \% of the students read Hindi newspaper, 40 \% read English newspaper and 20 \% read both Hindi and English newspapers. A student is selected at random.
(a) Find the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers.
(b) If she reads Hindi newspaper, find the probability that she reads English newspaper.
(c) If she reads English newspaper, find the probability that she reads Hindi newspaper

Given: The letters $H$ and $E$ stand for the number of students who read the Hindi newspaper and the English daily, respectively. Hence, $\mathrm{P}(\mathrm{H})=$ Probability of students who read...

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One card is drawn at random from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. In which of the following cases are the events \mathrm{E} and \mathrm{F} independent?
(i) E: ‘the card drawn is a spade’ F: ‘the card drawn is an ace’
(ii) E: ‘the card drawn is black’ \mathrm{F} : ‘the card drawn is a king’
(iii) E: ‘the card drawn is a king or queen’ F: ‘the card drawn is a queen or jack’.

Solution: Given: A deck of 52 cards. Concept: Two events are independent, statistically independent, or stochastically independent if the occurrence of one does not affect the probability of...

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A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected oranges drawn without replacement. If all the three oranges are good, the box is approved for sale, otherwise, it is rejected. Find the probability that a box containing 15 oranges out of which 12 are good and 3 are bad ones will be approved for sale.

Solution: Given: A box of oranges. Let A, B, and C represent the events that occur when the first, second, and third drawn oranges are all excellent. Now, $P(A)=P$ (good orange in first draw) $=12 /...

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